Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.001736 0.001811 0.001888 0.001974 0.002069 0.002169 0.002284
2025-07-06 0.001607 0.001712 0.001825 0.001957 0.002109 0.002279 0.002487
2025-07-13 0.001478 0.001596 0.001727 0.001885 0.002073 0.002293 0.002575
2025-07-20 0.001413 0.001544 0.001693 0.001878 0.002105 0.002382 0.002755
2025-07-27 0.001370 0.001513 0.001679 0.001890 0.002158 0.002497 0.002978
2025-08-03 0.001321 0.001470 0.001647 0.001876 0.002175 0.002565 0.003142
2025-08-10 0.001292 0.001450 0.001640 0.001891 0.002227 0.002681 0.003387
2025-08-17 0.001256 0.001418 0.001615 0.001881 0.002243 0.002748 0.003566
2025-08-24 0.001219 0.001383 0.001585 0.001861 0.002244 0.002791 0.003711
2025-08-31 0.001210 0.001382 0.001597 0.001897 0.002324 0.002957 0.004085
2025-09-07 0.001189 0.001366 0.001589 0.001904 0.002363 0.003063 0.004375
2025-09-14 0.001160 0.001338 0.001563 0.001885 0.002361 0.003102 0.004545
2025-09-21 0.001128 0.001305 0.001531 0.001857 0.002345 0.003122 0.004686
2025-09-28 0.001104 0.001282 0.001511 0.001845 0.002353 0.003181 0.004924
2025-10-05 0.001063 0.001235 0.001458 0.001782 0.002278 0.003090 0.004819
2025-10-12 0.001044 0.001218 0.001443 0.001776 0.002291 0.003156 0.005079
2025-10-19 0.001033 0.001209 0.001441 0.001787 0.002333 0.003276 0.005501
2025-10-26 0.001015 0.001191 0.001424 0.001775 0.002336 0.003324 0.005757
2025-11-02 0.001006 0.001185 0.001424 0.001788 0.002381 0.003458 0.006292
2025-11-09 0.000990 0.001169 0.001410 0.001779 0.002387 0.003516 0.006632
2025-11-16 0.000972 0.001150 0.001390 0.001761 0.002378 0.003541 0.006877
2025-11-23 0.000970 0.001154 0.001403 0.001793 0.002457 0.003762 0.007898
2025-11-30 0.000961 0.001146 0.001400 0.001800 0.002492 0.003891 0.008682